News

Lavrov, Blinken Agree to Meet in Iceland on May 20; US Says Group Behind Colonial Pipeline Cyberattack Based in Russia, but Kremlin Not Involved

May 14, 2021
Lavrov and Blinken will meet on the sidelines of the Arctic Council; Biden says the U.S. has been in communication with Moscow about the need for responsible countries to take action against ransomware networks; and more in our weekly news round-up.
Analysis

Macron’s Dialogue With Russia: A French Attempt to Fix the European Security Architecture

Juliette Faure May 12, 2021 RM Exclusives
While Macron has attempted to shape Europe’s strategic autonomy in the management of its eastern neighborhood, lack of support from the EU has impeded the success of this policy, as has Russian behavior throughout 2020.
Analysis

Stoner’s Quantitative and Qualitative Assessment of Russia’s New Strength

Paul Saunders May 05, 2021 RM Exclusives
Kathryn E. Stoner's effort to measure Russia’s power comprises the bulk of her new book and provides a generally helpful overview of the country’s capabilities despite some limitations.
News
Lavrov, Blinken Agree to Meet in Iceland on May 20; US Says Group Behind Colonial Pipeline Cyberattack Based in Russia, but Kremlin Not Involved
May 14, 2021
Analysis
Macron’s Dialogue With Russia: A French Attempt to Fix the European Security Architecture
May 12, 2021
Analysis
Stoner’s Quantitative and Qualitative Assessment of Russia’s New Strength
May 05, 2021
RM Staff Picks
Analysis

Displaced Conflict: Russia’s Qualified Success in Combatting Insurgency

Mark Youngman and Cerwyn Moore
In both Syria and the North Caucasus, Russia claims success in fighting insurgency and terrorism, offering itself as a model of best practice. Closer examination, however, shows this “success” carries major caveats and is more illusory than it first ...
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Blog

Russians Largely Blame US, NATO Allies for Escalation of Tensions Near Ukraine

RM Staff
Almost half of Russians blame the U.S. and its NATO allies for the escalation of tensions in eastern Ukraine, according to the results of a poll released April 29 by Russia’s leading independent pollster, the Levada Center.
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Analysis

US SolarWinds Response Unlikely to Change Russia’s Behavior, Highlights Need for Improved Cyber Defense

Paul Kolbe
However powerful our offensive cyber capability is, it has deterred neither China’s sustained campaign to erode our advantages nor Russia’s asymmetric use of low-cost tools to extract high-value intelligence, propaganda and political advantage.
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Blog

The Annual Worldwide Threat Assessment: 2021 vs 2019

Aleksandra Srdanovic
We offer a rundown of the most salient differences between this year’s assessment issued by the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the previous report.
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Blog

Russia’s Dwindling Middle Classes No Catalyst for Shift in Kremlin Foreign Policy

Jake Cordell
Russia’s middle classes have been hollowed out by years of economic stagnation and the coronavirus pandemic. But they have little impact on the Kremlin’s foreign policy.
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Analysis

Russia’s Impact on US National Interests: Preventing Terrorist Attacks on US Homeland and Assets Abroad

George Beebe
Russia has shown it can help the U.S. on counterterrorism a great deal. Adversarial relations notwithstanding, there is more the two sides can do in terms of sharing both intelligence and expertise.
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Analysis

Will Russia Invade Ukraine (Again)?

Simon Saradzhyan
Not a day goes by without dire warnings of an imminent Russian military invasion of Ukraine, but Putin is unlikely to order an offensive against Ukraine unless Zelensky makes the first military move on the Donbass chessboard.
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Debate

Debate: How Should the US Respond to the SolarWinds Breach?

RM Staff
Paul Kolbe, Erica D. Borghard and Anatol Lieven debate what an appropriate response to the massive cyber operation attributed to Russia might look like.
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Analysis

Victoria Nuland on Russia

Daniel Shapiro
Biden's pick for undersecretary of state for political affairs has held a number of positions related to the post-Soviet space. Check out our compilation for some of Nuland's observations and policy ideas regarding Russia and the U.S.-Russian relatio...
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Analysis

A Look at the Military Lessons of the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict

Michael Kofman
The implications of the conflict continue to reverberate well outside the region given its potential significance for regional and great powers alike, while further spurring debates on the character of modern warfare.
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