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Analysis | Mar 31, 2023
Russia’s increasingly violent nuclear rhetoric and basing of nuclear weapons in Belarus are to be condemned. However, these developments do not alter the balance of power in Europe, nor do they significantly alter the risk of nuclear conflict.
Analysis | Jul 01, 2022
Putin’s decision to deploy dual-capable missiles in Belarus raises three obvious questions: Why? Why now? Is the decision reversible?
Analysis | Aug 31, 2021
As Russia prepares to hold exercises in its western regions again, we hear warnings that Moscow will use the wargames as cover for aggression against another country; however, the conditions necessary for a Russian military intervention are absent.
Analysis | Jul 09, 2021
The CSTO still has a chance to prove itself—if it can demonstrate effective and coordinated work after the impending withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan.
Analysis | Aug 14, 2020
Alexander Lukashenko gambled that his attempt to do the “Eurasian shuffle” would allow him to secure yet another installment in power. Instead, he is hoping that brute force can keep his regime from being overthrown.
Analysis | Feb 07, 2020
American policies designed to challenge Russian dominance in Eurasia have either proceeded as a result of autopilot within the bureaucracy or because Congress has imposed them via veto-proof majorities.
Analysis | Jan 29, 2019
As the Kremlin pushes for closer ties to Belarus, outside observers fear annexation. However, the process of unification between Russia and Belarus would be incredibly risky for Russia and is based on myths about modern Belarus.