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Analysis | Mar 02, 2023

Post-War Security for Ukraine: Eventually the Fighting Will End. What Then?

The West will have to give Ukraine bespoke, fool-proof international security guarantees while pragmatically engaging Russia in talks on arms control and confidence building.
Analysis | Feb 24, 2023

What Led to Putin’s Blunder in Ukraine?

Three factors are likely to have contributed to shaping Putin’s decision to launch the invasion one year ago.
Analysis | Feb 22, 2023

Domestic Politics Encourage Continued War of Attrition in Ukraine in 2023

The main question now: How far will the escalation go?
Analysis | Feb 09, 2023

The Top 5 Lessons from Year 1 of Ukraine’s War

Europe’s brutal conflict has been a harsh but instructive teacher.
Analysis | Feb 09, 2023

Sanctions Against Russia Ignore the Economic Challenges Facing Ukraine

The West has shown that it possesses the tools to destroy the growth prospects of import-dependent middle-income economies. But sanctions have failed to cause crippling and insurmountable problems of the kind that will cause the collapse of either the Russian economy or Mr. Putin’s war effort.
Analysis | Feb 07, 2023

Russia and Ukraine Have Incentives to Negotiate. The U.S. Has Other Plans

Russia has more than three times Ukraine’s population, an intact economy and superior military technology. At the same time, Russia has its own problems; until recently, a shortage of soldiers and the vulnerability of its arms depots to missile strikes have slowed its westward progress.
Analysis | Jan 27, 2023

Devoted to Putin: Volodin's Views on Russia, the West and the Rest

Despite his mastery of reductionist flattery and "unlimited devotion" to Putin, the speaker of the State Duma likely isn't a member of the Russian president's inner-most circle. Still, he may have a shot at the Kremlin when Putin steps down.
Analysis | Jan 18, 2023

8 Lessons for Taiwan From Russia’s War in Ukraine

While the fighting in Ukraine is on land, and thus very different from the maritime battlefield that would surround Taiwan, there are still many things this island nation can learn from Ukraine's defensive operations.
Analysis | Jan 13, 2023

Kevin McCarthy on Russia, Ukraine and US Interests

As newly elected speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, the 57-year-old congressman has become much more consequential for U.S. foreign policy.
Analysis | Dec 22, 2022

What’s Ahead in the War in Ukraine

The opposing sides have adopted two opposing strategies: Russians are fighting a traditional firepower-centric war of attrition; Ukraine is pursuing a terrain-focused war of maneuver. These opposing strategies are as much a product of national resource availability as a deliberate choice.
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