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Analysis | Nov 03, 2022
The war has left Belarus in a predicament, which boils down to depending on Russia for everything without enjoying the advantages of being part of Russia.
Analysis | Oct 27, 2022
Selected quotes from Putin's Oct. 27 speech at the Valdai Discussion Club.
Analysis | Oct 26, 2022
This paper assesses both the immediate economic impact and the likely longer-term impact of sanctions on the Russian economy.
Analysis | Oct 21, 2022
In this interview with Fyodor Lukyanov, Harvard political scientist and expert on the Cuban missile crisis Graham Allison says the sides have escalated far enough.
Analysis | Oct 13, 2022
Russian President Vladimir Putin sees Ukraine as part of Russia’s rightful sphere of influence, but because of his invasion, that sphere of influence is contracting.
Analysis | Oct 10, 2022
History demonstrates that the leader who starts a costly, protracted war is rarely willing to end the war short of victory—but history also shows that leadership change does not always facilitate peace. 
Analysis | Oct 05, 2022
Many volumes have been written on escalation control theories, but no one knows how to manage it.
Analysis | Oct 03, 2022
What do Biden and his national security team know that makes them take Putin’s nuclear threat so seriously?
Analysis | Oct 01, 2022
Key lessons from the crisis have been adapted and applied by the successors of Kennedy and Khrushchev to inform fateful choices.
Analysis | Sep 26, 2022
Russia's "red line" is absent from the American rule book, which the world is based on. Therefore, the only thing that can stop the United States in this situation is fear—its own fear of the next step.
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