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Analysis | Feb 22, 2023
The main question now: How far will the escalation go?
Analysis | Jan 27, 2023
Despite his mastery of reductionist flattery and "unlimited devotion" to Putin, the speaker of the State Duma likely isn't a member of the Russian president's inner-most circle. Still, he may have a shot at the Kremlin when Putin steps down.
Analysis | Nov 10, 2022
The Russian leader’s loose talk on nukes even has Russia’s long-term strategic partners such as India and China worried.
Analysis | Oct 21, 2022
In this interview with Fyodor Lukyanov, Harvard political scientist and expert on the Cuban missile crisis Graham Allison says the sides have escalated far enough.
Analysis | Oct 10, 2022
History demonstrates that the leader who starts a costly, protracted war is rarely willing to end the war short of victory—but history also shows that leadership change does not always facilitate peace.
Analysis | Sep 29, 2022
The collective West is right to take Putin’s nuclear threats seriously, but efforts to dissuade him require the pro-active involvement of China and India.
Analysis | Aug 29, 2022
A recent New York Times article claims Odesa is “Putin’s obsession.” But is there any evidence to support this big idea?
Analysis | Aug 25, 2022
Russia’s president ordered his "special military operation" because he believes that it is Russia’s divine right to rule Ukraine, to wipe out the country’s national identity and to integrate its people into a Greater Russia.
Analysis | Aug 12, 2022
One overlooked aim of the war in Ukraine is Putin's attempt to speed up a clean break from a “declining” West, so that Russia can blossom as a separate civilization in alignment with the “great civilization” of a “rising” China.
Analysis | Jul 29, 2022
To make the facts fit his assessment, he must disregard Russia’s own pronouncements, its brutality and the security imperatives of its neighbors.
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