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Analysis | Mar 31, 2023

Nuclear Weapons in Belarus: History Repeats Itself

Russia’s increasingly violent nuclear rhetoric and basing of nuclear weapons in Belarus are to be condemned. However, these developments do not alter the balance of power in Europe, nor do they significantly alter the risk of nuclear conflict.

Analysis | Mar 09, 2023

The moment when Putin turned away from the West

Bush had maintained a surprisingly close relationship with the Russian leader, centered on a counterterrorism alliance. The United States was battling al-Qaeda at the time; Russia was fighting Chechen separatists. But Putin came to believe that America was an unreliable, hypocritical partner — and…

Analysis | Feb 24, 2023

What Led to Putin’s Blunder in Ukraine?

Three factors are likely to have contributed to shaping Putin’s decision to launch the invasion one year ago.

Analysis | Feb 22, 2023

Domestic Politics Encourage Continued War of Attrition in Ukraine in 2023

The main question now: How far will the escalation go?

Analysis | Feb 09, 2023

The Top 5 Lessons from Year 1 of Ukraine’s War

Europe’s brutal conflict has been a harsh but instructive teacher.

Analysis | Jan 20, 2023

No, Weakening Russia Is Not “Costing Peanuts” for the U.S.

As support slips for military funding to Ukraine, some analysts argue that America is getting a great deal for its money. But there are a lot of strategic costs that don’t show up on the balance sheet.

Analysis | Jan 13, 2023

Kevin McCarthy on Russia, Ukraine and US Interests

As newly elected speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, the 57-year-old congressman has become much more consequential for U.S. foreign policy.

Analysis | Jan 04, 2023

Dmitry Medvedev in His Own Words: From Modernizing Liberal to Hateful Hawk

Analysts believe the public metamorphosis is meant to keep the ex-president/ex-prime minister politically relevant and close to Russia's pro-war ruling elite.

Analysis | Dec 26, 2022

NPR 2022 Recognizes Importance of Risk Reduction, Falls Short on Reducing Role of Nukes

The latest Nuclear Posture Review maintains focus on both nuclear modernization and arms control/risk reduction as essential elements of deterrence but, in a way, seems to have broadened the role of nuclear weapons.

Analysis | Nov 10, 2022

US Midterms Spell Little Change for Policy Toward Russia, Ukraine

Despite the appearance of intractable partisan divisions in Washington, opposition to Russia and support for Ukraine is one of the few issues to enjoy deep and robust bipartisan support.