Also in this week's analytical digest, Michael Kofman looks back on the Russo-Georgian war, Andrei Kolesnikov ponders how the Kremlin might distract the Russian public from the pension age hike and much more.
Examining Putin’s three military interventions abroad, the author sees a pattern in which two conditions must be present for Russia to intervene with force: a threat to its vital interests and a reasonable chance of success.
Eugene Rumer: Hard to Accept Nord Stream 2 Opposition Prioritizes Ukraine's, Poland's National Interests Over Germany's
August 20, 2018
How Much Do Americans Care About Russia?
August 16, 2018
When Does Vladimir Putin’s Russia Send In Troops?
August 07, 2018
Will Pension Protests ‘Take Down’ Putin?
Russia’s push to raise its pension age has sparked a public backlash, driving the president’s approval ratings to their lowest point in years. But Putin has survived worse, and is likely to bend before he breaks.
The Shanghai Communique of 1972 dispensed with worn-out platitudes about cooperation and laid out the disputes between the U.S. and China. Doing so gave it an air of credibility. So what would a U.S.-Russian Helsinki Communique look like?
For more than two years Ukraine has been quietly “de-occupying” a gray zone between its troops and Russian-backed separatists. No matter how Russia and the West respond, Ukraine’s leadership stands to benefit.
Measuring National Power: Is Vladimir Putin’s Russia in Decline?
Simon Saradzhyan and Nabi Abdullaev
Russia’s standing in the world—both real and perceived—has a profound impact on U.S. security and policies, as well as on Moscow's actions. This report offers a unique quantitative stocktaking of Russia’s national power.
China-Russia Relations: Same Bed, Different Dreams?
Simon Saradzhyan and Ali Wyne
China and Russia’s shared interests have brought them closer together, but growing disparities between the two make a formal alliance unlikely, unless two conditions emerge—including a weakened, isolated Russia.