News

Trump: US Has ‘Nothing to Do’ With Ukraine War

June 18, 2026
Plus: NYT reports Russia is exploiting Ukraine’s biggest weakness: lack of anti-ballistic defense.
Blog

Russia’s Longer Inter-State Wars Have More Often Ended in Victory

Simon Saradzhyan, Ivan Kurilla, Angelina Flood, Ivan Arreguín-Toft June 18, 2026
Since 1547, Russia has fought 49 inter-state wars; 17 lasted longer than the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine. Of these, 11 ended in Russian victories, one ended in a draw and five were losses.
Analysis

Selling Peace to Ukrainians, Russians

Simon Saradzhyan May 29, 2026 RM Exclusives
With no military triumph in sight, leaders on both sides will face an uphill battle in convincing their constituents they have won the Ukraine war.
News
Trump: US Has ‘Nothing to Do’ With Ukraine War
June 18, 2026
Blog
Russia’s Longer Inter-State Wars Have More Often Ended in Victory
June 18, 2026
Analysis
Selling Peace to Ukrainians, Russians
May 29, 2026
RM Staff Picks
Blog

Claim in January 2026: Russia’s 2025 Military Spending Was 5 Times That of 2021

RM Staff
Fact-check: RM’s analysis indicates that Russia’s military expenditures increased 3.16–4.62 times in nominal terms from 2021 to 2025.
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Analysis

Mythos in Moscow: Why Russia Will be the Relative Winner of AI Cyber Proliferation

Naveen Krishnan
Russia is the asymmetric beneficiary of this new period of cyberwarfare as its offensive ecosystem architecture is designed to take full advantage of the jump in capabilities Mythos enables.
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Blog

Russians’ Predictions of Iran Crisis Impact: One Month Later

RM Staff
Several assessments of the Iran crisis featured in our “Clues from Russian Views” rubric at the conflict's outset have proven accurate.
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Blog

Zaluzhnyi: For Russia and Ukraine, It’s a Question of How to Sell Outcome as Victory

RM Staff
Ukraine’s goals and strategies, the current battlefield situation and how and when the war might end were among the key topics Valerii Zaluzhnyi addressed in his latest extended Q&A.
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Blog

Belfer Center’s Inaugural Carnesale Convenings Probe The Future of Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Extended Deterrence

Jack Lennon, RM Staff
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Analysis

In Iran’s War, Russia Serves as Backstage Partner

Nicole Grajewski
Russia’s position in Iran’s war is that of a well-equipped backstage partner with a clear interest in the conflict’s prolongation and a sophisticated, if selective, toolkit for achieving it.
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Blog

Russia Condemns Deadly Attacks on Iran While Weighing Strategic Risks, Opportunities

Simon Saradzhyan, Angelina Flood
Russia’s official line regarding the strikes on Iran has been to condemn the attacks, call for the preservation of Iran’s sovereignty and position the Kremlin as a guardian of “law” and diplomacy.
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Analysis

Russia's Demographic Vanishing Act: A Warning From History

Monica Duffy Toft
Russia's decision to shroud its population figures in secrecy represents only the latest chapter in a long history of Soviet and Russian demographic denial—and it portends dangerous consequences for regional stability.
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