Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
article

Why Hasn’t Russia Unleashed ‘Cybergeddon’ in Its War on Ukraine?

RM Staff May 04, 2022 RM Exclusives
Some experts say expectations of cyber apocalypse have been overblown, while others argue Russia has already done plenty of cyber damage. Check out our compilation for what Russia’s use (and non-use) of cyber means in the war on Ukraine.
article

Biden’s Dangerous New Ukraine Endgame: No Endgame

Michael Hirsh April 28, 2022 Recommended Reads
"Putin has year by year reintroduced nuclear weapons into his conventional war calculations. … Yet Putin has never come this close to threatening to use them, nor has he made clear if or how he might do so," the author writes.
article

Would Putin’s Russia Really Nuke Ukraine?

Graham Allison April 22, 2022 Recommended Reads
If a nuclear strike killed 10,000 or 20,000 innocent Ukrainians, how would the United States or NATO respond?
article

Lessons From the Battle for Kyiv

Alex Vershinin April 21, 2022 RM Exclusives
The operation rapidly degenerated into an urban battle of attrition favorable to Ukraine, and eventually the Russian government withdrew its troops, conceding defeat in the battle for Kyiv, while preparing a second phase of the war in Donbas.
article

How Silent Assent Made Bucha Possible

Andrei Kolesnikov April 07, 2022 Recommended Reads
Those who approve or stay silent bear, at the very least, collective responsibility for what is happening in their own country and what the state is doing.
article

How to Make Peace With Putin

Thomas Graham and Rajan Menon March 21, 2022 Recommended Reads
The West must move quickly to end the war in Ukraine.
article

The False Promise of Arming Insurgents

Lindsey O'Rourke March 18, 2022 Recommended Reads
America’s spotty record warrants caution in Ukraine.
article

The West Is Sleepwalking Into War in Ukraine

Stephen M. Walt February 23, 2022 Recommended Reads
It’s not easy to make sense of how the United States and Europe are responding to Russia’s aggression.
article

There is No Cyber 'Shock and Awe': Plausible Threats in the Ukrainian Conflict

Lennart Maschmeyer and Nadiya Kostyuk February 08, 2022 Recommended Reads
Contrary to hysteria, cyber operations will remain of secondary importance and at best provide marginal gains to Russia.
article

The Bully in the Bubble

Adam E. Casey and Seva Gunitsky February 04, 2022 Recommended Reads
Putin and the perils of information isolation.
article

With Putin, Biden Should Channel His Inner Realist

Stephen Wertheim February 03, 2022 Recommended Reads
A contest of ideas is hobbling U.S. policy in the standoff over Ukraine.
article

Putin Has Off-Ramps: Let’s Not Block Them

Henry Hale and Adam Lenton February 02, 2022 Recommended Reads
Accounts claiming Putin has passed the point of no return overlook key sources of Putin’s domestic appeal, which is based much more on pragmatically providing stability, security, and prosperity than on aggressiveness.