Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
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The Ukraine Crisis Will End Inevitably in a Redivision of Europe

Thomas Graham January 04, 2022 Recommended Reads
The dividing line between Europe and the Russian sphere of influence in Europe has gravitated westward and eastward over the past three centuries as a consequence of periodic trials of arms.
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Angela Merkel’s Departure Unlikely to Change Germany’s Russia Policy

Jonas Driedger October 30, 2021 Recommended Reads
Germany’s new coalition government is unlikely to include elements that could push for drastic change. Even Russia seems to be prepared for continuity on key issues from Berlin.
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European Gas Crisis: Russia to the Rescue?

Sergei Kapitonov October 12, 2021 Recommended Reads
The prompt stabilization of the European gas market is not only in the interests of collapsing European companies, but of Gazprom, too.
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What Did Biden Achieve in Geneva?

Joseph S. Nye, Jr. July 08, 2021 Recommended Reads
Even if formal cybersecurity treaties are unworkable, it may still be possible to set limits on certain types of civilian targets, and to negotiate rough rules of the road.
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Will Russia Invade Ukraine (Again)?

Simon Saradzhyan April 14, 2021 Recommended Reads
Not a day goes by without dire warnings of an imminent Russian military invasion of Ukraine, but Putin is unlikely to order an offensive against Ukraine unless Zelensky makes the first military move on the Donbass chessboard.
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Russia-Ukraine War Alert: What’s Behind It and What Lies Ahead?

Dmitri Trenin April 13, 2021 Recommended Reads
Going overkill in terms of military maneuvers on the Ukrainian border now may avoid the need to do terrible things at a later point.
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Russia's Military Buildup Near Ukraine Is an Intimidation Tactic

Michael Kofman April 03, 2021 Recommended Reads
Russia's military posturing appears to be primarily coercive and demonstrative in nature.
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It’s Better to Deal with China and Russia in Tandem

Thomas Graham and Robert Legvold February 04, 2021 Recommended Reads
Putting China and Russia into policy silos will be counterproductive.
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SolarWinds Hack: Why We Need Defense, Not Retaliation

William Akoto January 31, 2021 Recommended Reads
There may be no way to prevent systems from being breached, but the right cyber defenses could limit the damage and speed the recovery when they are broken into.
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The United States and the NATO Non-extension Assurances of 1990: New Light on an Old Problem?

Marc Trachtenberg January 25, 2021 Recommended Reads
An examination of the debate on NATO accession leads to the conclusion that Russian allegations of U.S. assurances of NATO's non-expansion into former Warsaw Pact states are not baseless. This affects our understanding of the U.S.-Russian relationship today.
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The U.S. Failed to Execute Its Cyberstrategy—and Russia Pounced

Rob Knake January 06, 2021 Recommended Reads
To address U.S. cyber vulnerabilities now requires not a new grand cyberstrategy but the discipline and resources to implement the current one.
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With Hacking, the United States Needs to Stop Playing the Victim

Paul Kolbe December 23, 2020 Recommended Reads
Instead of acting surprised after a cyberattack, the United States must better defend its digital homeland and learn how to better operate in a state of constant cyberconflict.
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