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Analysis | Dec 05, 2023
How has the transformation of the Russian economy and society in response to the challenges posed by the invasion of Ukraine affected popular support for the war?
Analysis | Dec 05, 2023
Enterprising and competent officials know full well they can survive without Putin. Whether the regime can survive without them, though, is another matter.
Analysis | May 04, 2023
It is precisely because of, and not in spite of, the fact that Moscow and Pyongyang have repeatedly held their nuclear arsenals over Western heads that leaders should take these threats seriously.
Analysis | Apr 07, 2022
Those who approve or stay silent bear, at the very least, collective responsibility for what is happening in their own country and what the state is doing.
Analysis | Mar 09, 2022
To understand whether Putin is likely to attack a North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) member-state or use nuclear weapons, it is helpful to consider a standard social science definition of rationality.
Analysis | Feb 02, 2022
Accounts claiming Putin has passed the point of no return overlook key sources of Putin’s domestic appeal, which is based much more on pragmatically providing stability, security, and prosperity than on aggressiveness.
Analysis | Dec 24, 2021
As we celebrate Christmas 2021, we should pause to remember: How many nuclear weapons from the former Soviet arsenal have proliferated? Not the 250 Cheney predicted. Not twenty-five. Indeed, not a single nuclear weapon has been discovered outside the control of Russian authorities.
Analysis | Apr 05, 2021
The experiences of Russia’s oil- and gas-producing regions after the collapse of the Soviet Union suggests that political elites can make a difference in reversing the “resource curse” if their abundant revenues from natural resources decline.