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Analysis | Jul 01, 2023
'We are ... at an inflection point. The post-Cold War era is definitely over. Our task is to shape what comes next,' says CIA Director William Burns, as he delivers the 59th Ditchley Annual Lecture.
Analysis | Mar 09, 2023
Bush had maintained a surprisingly close relationship with the Russian leader, centered on a counterterrorism alliance. The United States was battling al-Qaeda at the time; Russia was fighting Chechen separatists. But Putin came to believe that America was an unreliable, hypocritical partner — and…
Analysis | Feb 24, 2023
Three factors are likely to have contributed to shaping Putin’s decision to launch the invasion one year ago.
Analysis | Feb 22, 2023
The main question now: How far will the escalation go?
Analysis | Nov 10, 2022
The Russian leader’s loose talk on nukes even has Russia’s long-term strategic partners such as India and China worried.
Analysis | Oct 10, 2022
History demonstrates that the leader who starts a costly, protracted war is rarely willing to end the war short of victory—but history also shows that leadership change does not always facilitate peace.
Analysis | Sep 29, 2022
The collective West is right to take Putin’s nuclear threats seriously, but efforts to dissuade him require the pro-active involvement of China and India.
Analysis | Aug 29, 2022
A recent New York Times article claims Odesa is “Putin’s obsession.” But is there any evidence to support this big idea?
Analysis | Aug 25, 2022
Russia’s president ordered his "special military operation" because he believes that it is Russia’s divine right to rule Ukraine, to wipe out the country’s national identity and to integrate its people into a Greater Russia.
Analysis | Aug 12, 2022
One overlooked aim of the war in Ukraine is Putin's attempt to speed up a clean break from a “declining” West, so that Russia can blossom as a separate civilization in alignment with the “great civilization” of a “rising” China.
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