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Analysis | Oct 05, 2022

The Best Way to Control Nuclear Escalation Is Simply to Not Start It

Many volumes have been written on escalation control theories, but no one knows how to manage it.
Analysis | Oct 05, 2022

Why Is Anti-Americanism in Russia Less Widespread Now Than in 2014?

Three factors may help explain: Negative attitudes toward the U.S. have become background noise; young people are getting more news online; and peak anti-Americanism may still lie ahead.
Analysis | Oct 03, 2022

Putin Is Not Bluffing With His Nuclear Threats

What do Biden and his national security team know that makes them take Putin’s nuclear threat so seriously?
Analysis | Oct 01, 2022

The Cuban Missile Crisis at 60: 6 Timeless Lessons for Arms Control

Key lessons from the crisis have been adapted and applied by the successors of Kennedy and Khrushchev to inform fateful choices.
Analysis | Sep 26, 2022

Bring Back the Fear

Russia's "red line" is absent from the American rule book, which the world is based on. Therefore, the only thing that can stop the United States in this situation is fear—its own fear of the next step.
Analysis | Sep 22, 2022

Still ‘No Limits’? The China-Russia Partnership After Samarkand

Despite their many conflicts of interest in Ukraine and elsewhere, Russia and China continue to be bound together, both by geopolitical factors and by their deep need for regime security.
Analysis | Sep 20, 2022

What Do Americans Care About? Not a Cold War With Russia and China

Asked about the most urgent issue facing the country today, 27% of Americans—the highest number—ranked inflation as No. 1, while only 2% ranked Ukraine at the top.
Analysis | Sep 08, 2022

Does War in Ukraine Impact Vital US Interests?

Despite the West's multiple rounds of sanctions on Moscow and ramped up military, economic and humanitarian aid for Kyiv, Biden has made clear he has no intention of sending American troops into Ukraine, as have leaders of other NATO countries.
Analysis | Sep 01, 2022

On The Design of Effective Sanctions: The Case of Bans on Exports to Russia

Well-coordinated sanctions can substantially increase costs to Russia with minimal impact on sanctioning countries, researchers find after examining the impact of export bans on 5,000 products.
Analysis | Aug 25, 2022

The World Putin Wants

Russia’s president ordered his "special military operation" because he believes that it is Russia’s divine right to rule Ukraine, to wipe out the country’s national identity and to integrate its people into a Greater Russia.
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