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Analysis | Jul 22, 2022
On the one hand, Ukraine aims to join the EU because it wants “more Europe.” On the other hand, a state fighting for its independence in war will be reluctant to allow sovereignty to be “pooled.”
Analysis | Jul 22, 2022
The rapidly growing availability of weapons in Ukraine, the country's widespread corruption and weak rule of law and challenges to the eventual securing of ceasefire lines all pose a significant risk to the EU’s internal security.
Analysis | Jul 14, 2022
In this interview, the former White House Russia adviser says Putin wants the Ukraine conflict over with.
Analysis | Jul 08, 2022
At present, the most plausible result after months or years of fighting is a stalemate close to the current battle lines.
Analysis | May 23, 2022
The Kremlin seems intent on achieving a victory on the battlefield, while relations between the West and Russia plummet to new lows. One casualty: U.S.-Russian arms control negotiations.
Analysis | May 17, 2022
Scholars and lawyers are warning the decision to confiscate frozen Russian foreign exchange reserves, while tempting, would be fraught with risk, legally questionable and could generate unintended consequences.
Analysis | May 13, 2022
Long-term, credible internal and external security is a precondition for a successful Marshall Plan in Ukraine, and the United States and its allies are incapable of providing it.
Analysis | May 10, 2022
Evaluating Putin’s decision requires capturing what was known at the time, not what became evident later.
Analysis | May 10, 2022
Underpinning Putin’s righteous battle for Russians in Ukraine is an organic vision of Russian nationhood defined by blood and cultural and spiritual traits rather than by political contract or choice.
Analysis | May 01, 2022
The war has direct effects on the firms operating in Russia and Ukraine and on firms relying on suppliers from those markets. But the shock caused by the war goes well beyond these two countries, as geopolitical risks have increased globally.