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Analysis | Apr 29, 2021

Displaced Conflict: Russia’s Qualified Success in Combatting Insurgency

In both Syria and the North Caucasus, Russia claims success in fighting insurgency and terrorism. Closer examination, however, shows this “success” carries major caveats and is more illusory than it first appears.
Analysis | Apr 27, 2021

US SolarWinds Response Unlikely to Change Russia’s Behavior, Highlights Need for Improved Cyber Defense

However powerful our offensive cyber capability is, it has deterred neither China’s sustained campaign to erode our advantages nor Russia’s asymmetric use of low-cost tools to extract high-value intelligence, propaganda and political advantage.
Analysis | Apr 15, 2021

Matthew Rojansky on Russia

Rojansky is a proponent of de-escalating tensions between Russia and the United States and identifying mutual areas of interest for cooperation. Check out our compilation for his observations and policy ideas.
Analysis | Apr 13, 2021

Russia’s Impact on US National Interests: Preventing Terrorist Attacks on US Homeland and Assets Abroad

Russia has shown it can help the U.S. on counterterrorism a great deal. Adversarial relations notwithstanding, there is more the two sides can do in terms of sharing both intelligence and expertise.
Analysis | Apr 07, 2021

In the Wake of SolarWinds: Making and Breaking a Rules-Based Global Cyber Order

Few things have been more damaging to U.S. and European hopes of a “rules-based global order” than the perception that the U.S. both makes the rules and breaks them whenever it sees fit, including in cyberspace.
Analysis | Mar 31, 2021

Punitive Response to SolarWinds Would Be Misplaced, But Cyber Deterrence Still Matters

The pursuit of deterrence strategies to address other types of malicious behavior in cyberspace, beyond espionage, is not a fool’s errand. Deterrence is not a one-size-fits-all concept in cyberspace—or in any other domain.
Analysis | Mar 25, 2021

US Response to SolarWinds Cyber Penetrations: A Good Defense Is the Best Offense

A carefully calibrated shot across the bow is appropriate in response to SolarWinds, but such responses will not stop cyber espionage or assaults. Russia is but one wolf in a growing pack of cyber predators, and the U.S. is simply too fat and easy a target.
Analysis | Mar 18, 2021

Five Years After Russia Declared Victory in Syria: What Has Been Won?

Has the intervention paid off or has Obama’s 2015 prediction that the operation would end in a “quagmire” for Russia come true? An assessment of some key costs and benefits generated by Russia’s intervention in Syria.
Analysis | Mar 18, 2021

Can the Biden Administration Get Russia Policy Right?

Whether the administration’s initial posture toward Russia will hold as it formulates the details of its policy remains to be seen. As always, there will be surprises, and Russia is a player on many issues the Biden administration will soon have to confront.
Analysis | Feb 25, 2021

The Real Russia ‘Reset’: Reassessing US Sanctions Policy Against Russia

Empirically tracking sanctions’ exact impact shows that the pecuniary cost of sanctions to Russia has been larger than previously estimated, but these sanctions have had an effect on domestic politics that is not necessarily favorable to U.S. interests.
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