Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
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Will Russia Invade Ukraine (Again)?

Simon Saradzhyan April 14, 2021 Recommended Reads
Not a day goes by without dire warnings of an imminent Russian military invasion of Ukraine, but Putin is unlikely to order an offensive against Ukraine unless Zelensky makes the first military move on the Donbass chessboard.
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Russia-Ukraine War Alert: What’s Behind It and What Lies Ahead?

Dmitri Trenin April 13, 2021 Recommended Reads
Going overkill in terms of military maneuvers on the Ukrainian border now may avoid the need to do terrible things at a later point.
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Russia's Military Buildup Near Ukraine Is an Intimidation Tactic

Michael Kofman April 03, 2021 Recommended Reads
Russia's military posturing appears to be primarily coercive and demonstrative in nature.
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Is Sanctioning Russian Sovereign Debt Such a Big Deal?

Timothy Ash March 18, 2021 Recommended Reads
The simple answer is no. Indeed, it’s the logical next step.
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Joe Biden’s Risky Russia Sanctions Game

Nikolas K. Gvosdev March 03, 2021 Recommended Reads
How will U.S. action towards Moscow affect two more critical relationships for Washington: the ones with Berlin and Beijing?
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Managing the Great-Power Competition Between Russia and the U.S.

Alexander Gabuev, Thomas Graham and Dmitri Trenin February 05, 2021 Recommended Reads
Is there a pragmatic agenda on which both Moscow and Washington are interested in cooperating?
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It’s Better to Deal with China and Russia in Tandem

Thomas Graham and Robert Legvold February 04, 2021 Recommended Reads
Putting China and Russia into policy silos will be counterproductive.
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Can Shared US–Russian Interests Lead to Joint Action?

William C. Potter and Anton Khlopkov January 13, 2021 Recommended Reads
As the Biden administration enters the White House, it is tempting to assume that the downward spiral in U.S.-Russian relations can be slowed, if not reversed. Nowhere is the need for this change in trajectory more acute than in the sphere of nuclear arms control.
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Joe Biden Must Embrace Liberal Nationalism to Lead America Forward

John J. Mearsheimer December 29, 2020 Recommended Reads
Biden faces a daunting list of domestic and international problems while his ability to address those problems is severely limited by circumstances beyond his control.
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Does the International Liberal Order Have a Future?

Joseph S. Nye Jr. December 28, 2020 Partner Posts
The question Biden faces is not whether to restore the liberal international order. It is whether the United States can work with an inner core of allies while cooperating with a broader set of states to cope with transnational threats.
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How to Reinvent Democracy Promotion

Melinda Haring December 24, 2020 Recommended Reads
The United States cannot credibly promote democracy abroad any longer, and the Biden administration must act swiftly to eliminate this obvious hypocrisy.
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The US Should Stop Underestimating Russian Power

Kathryn E. Stoner December 23, 2020 Recommended Reads
Conventional wisdom says Vladimir Putin has a weak hand in international politics, but plays it well. The problem with this idea is that it seriously underestimates the value of the cards in Putin’s hand.
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